Build Your Own ML Vuln Prioritizer
Problem Statement Your security team triages vulnerabilities by CVSS score. A 9.8 gets patched immediately; a 7.5 waits. But CVSS measures severity, not exploitability. In real-world data, CVSS achieves an AUC of just 0.662 at predicting which CVEs actually get exploited – barely better than a coin flip. You need a model that predicts exploitation likelihood, not just theoretical severity. This tutorial walks you through building an ML-based vulnerability prioritizer using public data. By the end, you will have a Random Forest model that beats CVSS by over 20 percentage points on AUC-ROC, and you will understand exactly which features drive those predictions using SHAP. ...